Weather, Flood and Coastal Hazards Publications

 2018~◊~2017~◊~2016~◊~2015~◊~2014 ~◊~2013 ~◊~ 2012 ~◊~ 2011 ~◊~ 2010 ~◊~ 2009


Book Chapter

Smart GM (2018) Improving flood hazard prediction models, International Journal of River Basin Management, Taylor & Francis. DOI: 10.1080/15715124.2017.1411923.  Available online


Albuquerque, J., Antolínez, J.A.A., Rueda, A., Méndez, F.J., Coco, G. (2018) Directional correction of modeled sea and swell wave heights using satellite altimeter data. Ocean Modelling, 131, pp. 103-114. DOI: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2018.09.001  Available online

Barthelemy X, Banner M, Peirson W, Fedele F, Allis M, Dias F (2018) On a unified breaking onset threshold for gravity waves in deep and intermediate depth water. Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 841, 463-488. doi:10.1017/jfm.2018.93

Beresford R., R. Turner, A. Tait, V. Paul, G. Macara, Z. Yu, L. Lima, and R. Martin, 2018, Predicting the climatic risk of myrtle rust during its first year in New Zealand.  NZ Journal of Plant Protection, Vol 71, 332-347. Available online.

Flood S, Cradock-Henry NA,  Blackett P, Edwards P (2018) Adaptive and interactive climate futures: Systematic review of 'serious games' for engagement and decision-making (Review).  Environmental Research Letters, Volume 13, Issue 6, June 2018, Article number 063005.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aac1c6.   Available online

Gorman RM (2018) Estimation of directional spectra from wave buoys for model validation. Procedia IUTAM, 26: 81-91.

Gorman, R. M., and H. J. Oliver, 2018,. Automated model optimisation using the Cylc workflow engine (Cyclops v1.0). Geosci. Model Dev., 11(6), 2153-2173. doi:10.5194/gmd-11-2153-2018

Mountjoy JJ, Howarth JD, Orpin AR, Barnes PM, Bowden DA, Rowden AA, Schimel ACG, Holden C, Horgan HJ, Nodder SD, Patton JR, Lamarche G, Gerstenberger M, Micallef A, Pallentin A, Kane T  (2018) Earthquake drive large-scale submarine canyon development and sediment supply to deep-ocean basins. Science Advances, Vol. 4, no. 3, eaar3748, DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aar3748.  Available online

Passarella, M., De Muro, S., Ruju, A., Coco, G. (2018) An Assessment of Swash Excursion Predictors using Field Observations. Journal of Coastal Research, 85, pp. 1036-1040. DOI: 10.2112/SI85-208.1    Available online

Passarella, M., Goldstein, E. B., De Muro, S., and Coco, G. (2018) The use of genetic programming to develop a predictor of swash excursion on sandy beaches, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 18 (2), 599-611,  Available online

Safaei Pirooz, A.A. & Flay, R.G.J. (2018) Comparison of Speed-Up Over Hills Derived from Wind-Tunnel Experiments, Wind-Loading Standards, and Numerical Modelling. Boundary-Layer Meteorology. DOI Available online.

Saket A, Peirson WL, Banner ML, Allis MJ (2018) On the influence of wave breaking on the height limits of two-dimensional wave groups propagating in uniform intermediate depth water. Coastal Engineering, 133: 159-165.

Singh SK (2018) Evaluation of Seasonal Streamflow Forecasting. American Journal of Geographical Research and Reviews,  1:4. DOI:10.28933/AJGRR-2017-12-3001

Williams, S.P., T. Zhang, C. Chague-Goff, J. Williams, E. M. Lane, J. Goff, J., Bind, S. Hampton, I. Qasim, J. Borella, K.-L. Thomas, 2018, Sedimentary and geochemical signature of the 2016 Kaikōura Tsunami at Little Pigeon Bay: a depositional benchmark for the Banks Peninsula region, New Zealand. Sedimentary Geology 369:60-70.


Book Chapter

Crowley, K., Fedaeff, N., Macara, G., and Duncan, M., (2017) Chapter 5- Climate and Weather Hazards and Hazard Drivers. In The Routledge Handbook of Disaster Risk Reduction Including Climate Change Adaptation, (Eds) Kelman, I., Mercer, J and Gaillard, J-C. Routledge: London.  Available online


Godoi VA, Bryan KR, Gorman RM (2017) Storm wave clustering around New Zealand and its connection to climatic patterns. International Journal of Climatology 38(S1): e401-e417,, Available online

Godoi VA, Bryan KR, Stephens SA, Gorman RM (2017) Extreme waves in New Zealand waters. Ocean Modelling, Volume 117,  97-110,  Available online

Gokesch, K., von Elverfeldt, K., Glade, T., Berman, E. Bründl, M., Dimer de Oliveira, F., Frigerio, S., Greiving, S., Kappes, M. S., Keiler, M., Malet, J. P., Marzocchi, W., Paulik, R., Reese, S., Smart, G. (Accepted). Multi-hazard risk concepts: A review of theory, applications and challenges. Progress in Physical Geography.

Saket A, Peirson WL, Banner ML, Barthelemy X, Allis J (2017) On the threshold for wave breaking of two-dimensional deep water wave groups in the absence and presence of wind. Journal of Fluid Mechanics 811: 642-658.

Salim, S., Pattiaratchi, C., Tinoco, R., Coco, G., Hetzel, Y., Wijeratne, S., and Jayaratne, R.: The influence of turbulent bursting on sediment resuspension under fluvial unidirectional currents, Earth Surface Dynamics,, in review, 2016. Available online 

Stephens SA, Bell RG, Lawrence J (2017) Applying principles of uncertainty within coastal hazard assessments to better support coastal adaptation. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, 5 (3), 40.  doi:10.3390/jmse5030040.  Available online 

Widlansky MJ, Marra JJ, Chowdhury MR, Stephens SA, Miles ER, Fauchereau N, Spillman CM, Smith G, Beard G, Wells J (2017) Multimodel ensemble sea level forecasts for tropical Pacific Islands. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 56(4): 849-862.

Yang Y, Moore S, Uddstrom M, Turner R, Carey-Smith T  (2017) Model moist bias in the middle and upper troposphere during DEEPWAVE. Atmos. Sci. Lett., 18: 161–167. doi:10.1002/asl.738

Yang Y, Uddstrom M, Revell M, Moore S, Turner R (2017) Damaging southerly winds caused by barrier jets in the Cook Strait and Wellington region of New Zealand. Mon. Wea. Rev., 145, 1203–1220, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-16-0159.1


Book Chapter

Smart GM (2016) Improving Flood Hazard Prediction Models. In: River Flow 2016, George Constantinescu, Marcelo Garcia & Dan Hanes (Eds). CRC Press, ISBN 9781138029132 , 856 p


Cattoen, C., H. McMillan and S. Moore (2016) Coupling a high resolution (1.5km) weather model with a hydrological model for flood forecasting in New Zealand, New Zealand Journal of Hydrology, 55(1) pp 1-23

DeBoer-Euser, T., McMillan, H.K. Hrachowitz, M., Winsemius H.C., Savenije H.H.G. (2016). Influence of soil and climate on root zone storage capacity. Water Resources Research 52(3): 2009-2024.

Fritts, D., R. Smith, M. Taylor, J. Doyle, S. Eckermann, A. Doernbrack, M. Rapp, B. Williams, P.-D Pautet, K. Bossert, N. Criddle, C. Reynolds, A. Reinecke, M. Uddstrom, M., R. Turner, B. Kaifler, J. Wagner, T. Mixa, C. Kruse, A. Nugent, C. Watson, S. Gisinger, S. Smith, R. S. Lieberman, B. Laughman, J. Moore, W. Brown, J. Haggerty, A. Rockwell, G. Stossmeister, S. Williams, G. Hernandez, D. Murphy, A. Klekociuk, I. Reid, J. Ma, 2015, The Deep Propagating Gravity Wave Experiment (DEEPWAVE): An Airborne and Ground-Based Exploration of Gravity Wave Propagation and Effects from their Sources throughout the Lower and Middle Atmosphere. Bull. of Amer. Met. Soc., e-View doi:

Godoi, V.A., K.R. Bryan, K.R., and R.M. Gorman (2016) Regional influence of climate patterns on the wave climate of the southwestern Pacific: The New Zealand region. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans: 121, 4056-4076.

Ogawa, H., Dickson, M.E. and Kench, P.S., 2016. Generalised observations of wave characteristics on near-horizontal shore platforms: synthesis of six case studies from the North Island, New Zealand. New Zealand Geographer. Volume 72 (2): 107–121.

Singh, S. K. (2016) Long-term stream-flow forecasting based on ensemble streamflow prediction technique: A case-study in New Zealand., Water Resource Management, 30, 2295-2309, DOI 10.1007/s11269-016-1289-7.

Smith; Ronald B., Alison D. Nugent; Christopher G. Kruse; David C. Fritts; James D. Doyle; Stephen D. Eckermann; Michael J. Taylor; Andreas Dörnbrack; Michael Uddstrom; William Cooper; Pavel Romashkin; Jorgen Jensen; Stuart Beaton, 2016: Stratospheric Gravity Wave Fluxes and Scales during DEEPWAVE. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences 73, 2851–2869. 

Westerberg, I., Wagener, T., Coxon G., McMillan, H., Castellarin, A., Montanari, A., Freer J., 2016. Uncertainty in hydrological signatures for gauged and ungauged catchments. Water Resources Research 52(3): 1847-1865.


Archfield, SA; Clark, M; Arheimer, B; Hay, LE; McMillan, H; Kiang, JE; Seibert, J; Hakala, K; Bock, A; Wagener, T., 2015. Accelerating advances in continental domain hydrologic modeling, Water Resour. Res., 51, 10078–10091.

McMillan, H., Westerberg, I. (2015) Rating curve estimation under epistemic uncertainty. Hydrological Processes, 29(7): 1873-1882.

Singh, S.K.; Bárdossy, A. (2015) Hydrological Model Calibration by Sequential Replacement of Weak Parameter Sets Using Depth Function. Hydrology, 2: 69-92.

Yang Y., Andrews P, Carey-Smith T, Uddstrom M, and Revell M. (2015) Prediction of moderate and heavy rainfall in New Zealand using data assimilation and ensemble. Advances in Meteorology, Available online.

Yang Y., Uddstrom M., Pearce G., and Revell M. (2015) Reformulation of the Drought Code in the Canadian Fire Weather Index System implemented in New Zealand. J. of Appl. Meteorology and Climatology, 54: 1523-1537. Available online.


Singh S. K., S. K. Jain, Bardossy A. 2014: Training of Artificial Neural Networks Using Information-Rich Data. Hydrology, 1, 40-62.

Stephens, SA, Bell RG, Ramsay D. and Goodhue N. (2014). High-water alerts from coinciding high astronomical tide and high mean sea level anomaly in the Pacific Islands region. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology 31(12): 2829-2843.

Stephens, S.A. and Ramsay, D.L. (2014) Extreme cyclone wave climate in the Southwest Pacific Ocean: Influence of the El Niño Southern Oscillation and projected climate change. Global and Planetary Change, 123, Part A: 13-26.

Turner R., Moore S., Pardo N., Kereszturi G., Uddstrom M., Hurst T., Cronin S. (2014) The use of Numerical Weather Prediction and a Lagrangian transport (NAME-III) and dispersion (ASHFALL) models to explain patterns of observed ash deposition and dispersion following the August 2012 Te Maari, New Zealand eruption. J Volcanology and Geotherm Research, Vol. 286: 437-451. Available online 1 June 2014.

Uddstrom, M.J., Carey-Smith T, Moore S, Miville B, Lewthwaite E., Sturman J, Sansom J, Pearce G, Bishop S. and Lockyer G. (2014) Mitigating Wildfire Risk: A New Fire Weather System for New Zealand. In: Proceedings of the Australasian Fire and Emergency Service Authorities Council 2014 Conference, Wellington, 2-5 September 2014 17 pp.


Book / Book Chapters

Singh, S. K. (2013).Chapter xx Advancement in calibration and validation of a model Book and using data depth function; in Fujimoto, I. (ed.), Calibration Technology, Theories and Applications, Nova Science. Publishers, Inc.; (in press)


Behr, Y.; Townend, J.; Bowen, M.; Carter, L.; Gorman, R.; Brooks, L.; Bannister, S. (2013). Source directionality of ambient seismic noise inferred from three component beamforming. Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth 118(1): 240-248 . DOI: 10.1029/2012JB009382.

McMillan, H. K., Hreinsson, E. O, Clark, M. P., Singh, S. K., Zammit, C., and Uddstrom, M. J. (2013).Operational hydrological data assimilation with the recursive ensemble Kalman filter. Hydrology and Earth Systems Science, 17(1), 21-38. doi:10.5194/hess-17-21-2013

Yang, Y., Uddstrom, M. J., Revell, M., & Moore, S. (2013). Soil moisture simulation by JULES in New Zealand: verification and sensitivity tests, Meteorological Applications DOI: 10.1002/met.1426.



Guedes, R. M. C., Bryan, K. R., & Coco, G. (2012). Observations of alongshore variability of swash motions on an intermediate beach, Continental Shelf Research, 48: 61-74

Hannah, J.; Bell, R. (2012). Regional sea level trends in New Zealand. Journal of geophysical research. Oceans. Vol. 117.: C01004.

Popinet, S. (2012). Adaptive modelling of long-distance wave propagation and fine-scale flooding during the Tohoku tsunami. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 12(4):1213-1227.

Staron, L., Lagrée, P.-Y., & Popinet, S. (2012). The granular silo as a continuum plastic flow: the hourglass vs. the clepsydra. Physics of Fluids 24:103301, 2012.

Turner, R., M. Revell, S. Reese, S. Moore, S. Reid, (2012). Some recent extreme wind events in New Zealand, Winds and Structures 50: 163-176

Yang, Yang, M. Uddstrom, M. Revell, P. Andrews, and R. Turner, (2012) Amplification of the impact of assimilating ATOVS radiances on simulated surface air temperatures over Canterbury by the Southern Alps, New Zealand. Monthly Weather Review, 140(4), 1367-1384. doi:



Bardossy A. and S.K. Singh, 2011: Regionalisation of model parameters using data depth function, Hydrology Research 42 No 5 pp 356–371.

Clark, M., H. McMillan, D. Collins, D. Kavetski, and R. Woods, 2011: Hydrological field data from a modeller's perspective: Part 2. Process-based evaluation of model hypotheses. Hydrological Processes 25, 523-543

Clark, M., H. McMillan, D. Collins, D. Kavetski, R. Woods (2011). Hydrological field data from a modeller's perspective: Part 2. Process-based evaluation of model hypotheses . Hydrological Processes 25(4): 523-543

Coleman, S.E., Smart G.M. (2011). Fluvial sediment transport processes and morphology. J. Hydrology, New Zealand, 50(1).

Dirks, K. N., Singhal, N., Austin, G. L., Elangasinghe, A., & Nanni, A. (2011). A Methodology for Quantifying the Contribution of Volcanic Ash to Urban Air Pollution In D. Steyn, & S. Castelli (Eds.), Air pollution modeling and its application XXI (Vol.4, pp. 285-288). The Netherlands: Springer. doi:10.1007/978-94-007-1359-8_48

Gallop, S.L.; Bryan, K.R.; Coco, G.; Stephens, S.A. (2011). Storm-driven changes in rip channel patterns on an embayed beach. Geomorphology 127(3-4): 179-188. < 10.1016/j.geomorph.2010.12.014>

Gessese, A., Sellier, M., Van Houten, E., Smart G.M. (2011). “Reconstruction of bed topography from free surface data using direct numerical approach in one dimensional shallow water flow”, Inverse problems in science and engineering 27 (2011) 025001 (12pp).

Gillibrand, P.A.; Lane, E.M.; Walters, R.A.; Gorman, R.M. (2011). Forecasting extreme sea level events and coastal inundation from tides, surge and wave setup. Australian Journal of Civil Engineering 9(1): 99-112.

Guedes, R.M.C.; Bryan, K.R.; Coco, G.; Holman, R.A. (2011). The effects of tides on swash statistics on an intermediate beach. J. Geophys. Res. 116(C4): C04008.

Huisman, C.E.; Bryan, K.R.; Coco, G.; Ruessink, B.G. (2011). The use of video imagery to analyse groundwater and shoreline dynamics on a dissipative beach. Continental Shelf Research 31(16): 1728-1738.

Lane, E.M.; Gillibrand, P.A.; Arnold, J.R.; Walters, R.A. (2011). Tsunami inundation modelling using RiCOM. Australian Journal of Civil Engineering 9(1): 83-98.

McMillan, H., B. Jackson, M. Clark, D. Kavetski, R. Woods (2011). Input Uncertainty in Hydrological Models: An Evaluation of Error Models for Rainfall . Journal of Hydrology 400(1-2): 83-94

McMillan, H., M. Clark, W. Bowden, M. Duncan, R.Woods (2011). Hydrological field data from a modeller's perspective: Part 1. Diagnostic tests for model structure. Hydrological Processes 25(4): 511-522

Senechal, N.; Coco, G.; Bryan, K.R.; Holman, R.A. (2011). Wave runup during extreme storm conditions. J. Geophys. Res. 116(C7): C07032.

Shucksmith, P. E., Sutherland-Stacey, L., & Austin, G. L. (2011). The spatial and temporal sampling errors inherent in low resolution radar estimates of rainfall. Meteorological Applications, 18(3), 354-360

Turner, R., Zheng, X.; Gordon, N.; Uddstrom, M.; Pearson, G.; de Vos, R.; Moore, S. (2011) Creating synthetic wind speed time-series for 15 New Zealand wind farms. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 50(12): 2394–2409

Weir, B.; Lane, E.M. (2011). A vortex force analysis of the interaction of rip currents and surface gravity waves - art. no. C05001. Journal of geophysical research. Oceans Vol. 116, no. 1 (3 May 2011). 5001(5016).

Yang, Y., M. Uddstrom, M. Revell, P. Andrews, H. Oliver, R. Turner & T. Carey-Smith, (2011) Numerical simulations of effects of soil moisture and modification by mountains over New Zealand in summer. Monthly Weather Review 139(2): 4494-510.

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Book / Book Chapters

Smart, G.M., Plew, D., Gateuille, D. (2010). “Eddy Educed Entrainment”, in River Flow 2010. Eds. Dittrich, Koll, Aberle, Geisenhainer. Bundesanstalt fuer Wasserbau, Germany. 747-754.


Birkeland, K., Hendrikx, J., and Clark, M.P., 2010. On optimal stability test spacing for assessing snow avalanche conditions. Journal of Glaciology, 56(199), 795-804

Bryan, K.R. and Coco, G., 2010, Observations of nonlinear run-up patterns on plane and rhythmic beach morphology, Journal of Geophysical Research, 115, C09017, doi:10.1029/2009JC005721.

Clark, M. P., and D. Kavetski (2010), Ancient numerical daemons of conceptual hydrological modeling. Part 1: Fidelity and efficiency of time stepping schemes, Water Resources Research 46(10) W10510 doi: 10.1029/2009WR008894.

Gloster, J., A. Jones, A. Redington, L. Burgin, J. H. Sorensen, R. Turner, M. Dillon, P. Hullinger, M. Simpson, P. Astrup, G. Garner, P. , R. D'Amours, R. Sellers, D. Paton, 2010: Airborne spread of foot-and-mouth disease - Model intercomparison, The Veterinary Journal, 183, 278-286

Goring, D.G.; Stephens, S.A.; Bell, R.G.; Pearson, C.P. (2010). Estimation of extreme sea levels in a tide-dominated environment using short data records. J. Waterway, Port, Coastal, Ocean Eng. 137, 150 (2011); doi:10.1061/(ASCE)WW.1943-5460.0000071

Kavetski, D., and M. P. Clark (2010), Ancient numerical daemons of conceptual hydrological modeling. Part 2: Impact of time-stepping schemes on model analysis and prediction, Water Resources Research 46(10) W10511 doi: 10.1029/2009WR008896.

McMillan, H., J. Freer, F. Pappenberger, T. Krueger, M. Clark (2010). Impacts of Uncertain River Flow Data on Rainfall-Runoff Model Calibration and Discharge Predictions. Hydrological Processes 24 (10): 1270 – 1284

McMillan, H., M. Clark, R. Woods, M. Duncan, MS. Srinivasan, A. Western, D. Goodrich (2010). Improving Perceptual and Conceptual Hydrological Models using Data from Small Basins. Status and Perspectives of Hydrology in Small Basins (Proceedings of the Workshop held at Goslar-Hahnenklee, Germany, 30 March-2 April 2009). IAHS Publ. 336-08, 2010.

Popinet, S.; Gorman, R.M., Rickard, G.J; Tolman, H.L. (2010). A quadtree-adaptive spectral wave model. Ocean Modelling (34): 36-49.

Smart, G.M., McKerchar A.I. (2010). “More Flood Disasters in New Zealand”. J. Hydrology (NZ) 49 (2): 69-78

Stephens, S., Coco, G., and Bryan, K.R., 2010, Numerical simulations of wave setup over barred beach profiles: implications for predictability, Journal of Waterway, Port, Coastal, and Ocean Engineering,

Sutherland-Stacey L. and P. Shucksmith, (2010) High Resolution Observation of a Small Tornado, Ardmore, New Zealand Weather and Climate (30), 46-53

Trembanis, A.; Hume, T. (2010). Sorted bedforms on the inner shelf off northeastern New Zealand: spatiotemporal relationships and potential paleo-environmental implications. Geo-Marine Letters: 1-12.

van Maanen, B., Coco, G., Bryan, K.R., and Green, M.O., 2010, The use of artifical neural networks to analyze and predict alongshore sediment transport, Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 17, 395-404, doi:10.5194/npg-17-395-2010.

Walters, R.; Gillibrand, P.; Bell, R.; Lane, E. (2010). A study of tides and currents in Cook Strait, New Zealand. Ocean Dynamics 60(6): 1559-1580.

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Book / Book Chapters

Hendrikx, J., and Owens, I., 2009. Methods and analysis of avalanche risk assessment for avalanche prone roads: Examples and comparisons for the Milford Road, New Zealand. [In] Paterson, S.E. and Allan, L.K. (Eds.), Road Traffic: Safety, Modeling and Impacts. Nova Science Publishers Inc., New York, 417-438 pp.


Gorman, R.M. (2009). Intercomparison of methods for the temporal interpolation of synoptic wind fields. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology Vol. 26, no. 4: 828-834.

Hendrikx, J., Birkeland, K and Clark, M.P., 2009. Assessing changes in the spatial variability of the snowpack fracture propagation propensity over time. Cold Regions Science and Technology, 56, 152-160.

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